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Welcome, RotoBallers, to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, June 14th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
The Phillies take on the Diamondbacks on Wednesday, June 14th, 2023 at Chase Field, Phoenix. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (33-34) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (41-26)
- Date: Wednesday, June 14th, 2023
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Arizona, the Phillies have a record of just 33-34. This places the team 3rd in the NL East. Philadelphia will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 14-23 away from home.
Despite being the favorite in 40 of their 67 games, Philadelphia's record against the run line is only 28-39. The team has an over/under record of 29-33, with an average betting line of 9.
The Phillies will send Ranger Suárez to the mound with an overall record of 1-2. Across 6 appearances, Ranger Suárez has a combined ERA of 4.70. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .283 against him. So far, Suárez has given up two home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .331. Suárez's WHIP of 1.44 comes along with a total of 10 walks allowed.
Offensively, Philadelphia is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.5 runs per game. The Phillies have combined to hit .261, which ranks 6th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 72 times this season, placing them 15th in the league. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 11th-best OBP at .326.
Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Philadelphia Phillies, they have a record of 41-26, placing them 1st in the NL West. When playing at Chase Field, the Diamondbacks have played well, posting a record of 21-15.
With an above .500 record against the run line, Arizona has been favored 32 times in 67 games played so far. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 33-31.
Starting for the Diamondbacks will be Merrill Kelly, with an overall record of 8-3. Runs have been hard to come by against Merrill Kelly, as he has an ERA of just 2.92. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .199. So far, Kelly has given up eight home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .274. Kelly's WHIP of 1.10 comes along with a total of 30 walks allowed.
Arizona comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.2 runs per game, good for 4th in the MLB. The Diamondbacks are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 3rd at .264. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 77 times this season, placing them 12th in the league. Up to this point, Arizona has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 7th at .330.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Diamondbacks
Heading into today's matchup between Arizona and Philadelphia, the Diamondbacks are the betting favorite at -140 on the money line. Arizona's implied win probability sits at 58.33%. The MLB predictive model shows Arizona pulling out a close win over the Phillies. It is recommended to take the Diamondbacks Moneyline -140 on the money line.
Recommended Betting Pick: Diamondbacks Moneyline -140
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