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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, June 1st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Marlins
The Padres take on the Marlins on Thursday, June 1st 2023 at loanDepot Park, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (25-30) vs. Miami Marlins (29-27)
- Date: Thursday, June 1st 2023
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: loanDepot Park, Miami
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Marlins
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The San Diego Padres take on the Miami hoping to improve on their record of just 25-30, placing them 4th in the NL West. Heading into play, the Padres have won half of their 28 road games, sitting at 13-15.
Despite being the favorite in 35 of their 55 games, San Diego's record against the runline is only 26-29. The team has an over/under record of 18-35, with an average betting line of 9.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres with a below .500 record at 2-2. Compared to other starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 5.64. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .271. Opposing hitters have gone deep six times against Joe Musgrove, who has a WOBA allowed of .348. Musgrove's WHIP of 1.45 comes along with a total of nine walks allowed.
San Diego's' offense comes into this game averaging just 4.1 runs per game, placing them 24th in the MLB. Through 55 games, the Padres have struggled to string together hits, ranking 29th in team batting average (.220). In terms of home runs, San Diego ranks 14th, with a total of 64 long balls. Up to this point, San Diego has been getting on base at a rate of .314, placing them 22nd in all of baseball.
Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 29-27, the San Diego Padres will host the San Diego Padres, currently ranked 3rd in the NL East. In their 27 games at loanDepot Park, the Marlins have a strong record of 15-12.
Miami's record against the runline, while being favored 24 times in 56 games, sits at 23-33. The team has an over/under record of 24-29, with an average betting line of 8.
Starting for the Marlins will be Jesús Luzardo, with an overall record of 4-3. Through 11 outings, Jesús Luzardo has an ERA sitting at 3.67. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .275 against the left-hander. Jesús Luzardo has given up eight home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .355. Luzardo's WHIP of 1.39 comes along with a total of 19 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team at 3.7. Even with their below average run total, as a team, the Marlins are batting a healthy .258, placing them 8th in the league. Although the team is hitting for a high batting average, they have struggled to generate power, ranking 24th in the league, at 54 home runs. Miami's offense currently sits 18th in OBP, coming in at .319.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Marlins
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Miami, the Padres are the betting favorite at -117 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 53.92%. The MLB predictive model shows the Marlins pulling off the upset over San Diego. It is recommended to take Miami on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Moneyline
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