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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, May 28th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Cubs
The Reds take on the Cubs on Sunday, May 28th 2023 at Wrigley Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (23-29) vs. Chicago Cubs (22-29)
- Date: Sunday, May 28th 2023
- Time: 2:20 ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Cubs
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds take on the Chicago hoping to improve on their record of just 23-29, placing them 3rd in the NL Central. Cincinnati will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 9-15 away from home.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Cincinnati has been favored 12 times in 52 games played so far. The team has an over/under record of 29-23, with an average betting line of 9.
The Reds will send Graham Ashcraft to the mound with an overall record of 2-3. With an ERA of 5.57, Graham Ashcraft has had his struggles on the mound. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .272. Graham Ashcraft has given up six home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .338. With a total of 21 walks, Ashcraft has a WHIP of 1.48.
Cincinnati's offense comes into this game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the Reds have combined for a team batting average of .254, placing them 14th in the league. Overall, the team has hit just 40 home runs, placing them 28th in the league. Throughout the season, Cincinnati's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 7th best OBP of .330.
Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Cincinnati, the Cubs have a record of just 22-29. This places the team 5th in the NL Central. In their 27 games at Wrigley Field, the Cubs have a record of just 13-14.
Chicago has been favored in 51.0% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 27-24. The team's over/under record comes in at 28-22 with an average betting line of 8.
Chicago pitcher Drew Smyly gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 5-1. Drew Smyly heads into action with an ERA of just 2.93. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .208. So far, Smyly has given up six home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .265. Smyly's WHIP of .98 comes along with a total of 12 walks allowed.
Offensively, Chicago is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.7 runs per game. Together, the Cubs' offense has the 12th-ranked batting average, at .255. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 11th in home runs, with a total of 63 deep shots. Chicago's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 3rd with an OBP of .334.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Cubs
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Cincinnati, the Cubs are the betting favorite at -164 on the moneyline. Chicago's implied win probability sits at 62.12%. The MLB predictive model shows Chicago picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Cubs on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs -1.5
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