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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, May 19th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Celtics
The Heat take on the Celtics on Friday, May 19th at TD Garden, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (44-38) vs. Boston Celtics (57-25)
- Date: Friday, May 19th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Celtics
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Heat & Celtics Key Injuries
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Ömer Yurtseven (Questionable) Nose
Celtics
- Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
- Malcolm Brogdon (Probable) Forearm
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Celtics by a score of 123-116, the Heat are riding a two-game win streak. Jimmy Butler led the way in scoring with 35 points. Miami was the 8.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
So far this season, they have gone 27-14 at home and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 41-53.
The Heat come into today's game ranked just 34th in scoring at 109.5 points per contest. Across their last five games, the unit is averaging 107 points per game. So far this season, the Heat are ranked 36th in pace at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, Miami has found success when stepping beyond the arc, ranking 11th in three-point shooting percentage. The team's overall field goal percentage of 46.0% is 30th in the NBA.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (18th) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.8 per game.
Boston Celtics - NBA Betting Analysis
In Boston's most recent game, Jayson Tatum led the team in scoring with 30 points, but the Celtics fell to the Heat by a score of 123-116 to the Heat. Going into the game, Boston was an 8.5-point favorite, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
The team's current record at home is 32-9 and 25-16 on the road. This season, Boston's ATS record sits at 52-42.
With an average of 117.9 points per game, the Celtics are ranked 6th in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 108 points per game in their last five contests. Throughout the season, the Celtics have been among the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making 37.7% of their shots from beyond the arc (1st). Despite ranking 18th in pace with 99.3 possessions per game, their efficient three-point shooting has compensated. Their overall field goal percentage currently stands at 47.5% and is ranked 7th.
This season, Boston has put together a strong defensive unit, allowing just 105.6 points per game (2nd). But despite their strong overall numbers, they have been vulnerable on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. Yet, the Celtics have been excellent at forcing turnovers, averaging 12.7 per game, placing them 10th in the NBA. For the season, they have allowed teams to hit 34.0% of their three-point shots and 44.8% of their overall shots from the field.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Celtics
Today's matchup will be the 5th game of the season between the Heat and Celtics. So far, the Heat have the leg up in the series 3-2. The last time the teams met up, the Heat won by a score of 123-116 as the 8.5-point underdogs (123-116). Together the teams combined to score 239 points which was more than the over/under line of 213.0.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 7-3 with an average of 225 points per contest.
Across Boston's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 4-1 straight-up. As the favorite, the Celtics are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 7 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 2-1. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 224 points per game and an over/under mark of 7-3.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA +9
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 215.5
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