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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 18th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Rays vs. Mets
The Rays take on the Mets on Thursday, May 18th 2023 at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Rays (32-12) vs. New York Mets (21-23)
- Date: Thursday, May 18th 2023
- Time: 1:10 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Rays vs. Mets
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Tampa Bay Rays - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Tampa Bay travels to take on the Mets at Citi Field with a record of 32-12, placing them 1st in the AL East. On the season, the Rays have an above .500 road record, at 13-9.
With an above .500 record against the runline at 27-17, Tampa Bay has been favored 86.4% of the time this season. The team has an over/under record of 25-16, with an average betting line of 8.
Starting for the Rays will be Taj Bradley, with an overall record of 3-0. Through three appearances, Taj Bradley has an ERA of 3.52. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .218. Taj Bradley has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .274. Bradley has a WHIP of .91, with two walks allowed.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 6.2 runs per game, good for 1st in the MLB. As a team, the Rays are batting a healthy .275, placing them 1st in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 86 home runs (1st). Tampa Bay's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 1st with an OBP of .350.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets take on the Tampa Bay hoping to improve on their record of just 21-23, placing them 3rd in the NL East. New York has had their problems at home, going just 8-9 at Citi Field.
New York's record vs. the runline is just 16-28 despite being favored 34 times through 44 games. The team has an over/under record of 20-23, with an average betting line of 9.
New York starter Tylor Megill takes the mound with an overall record of 4-2. Across 8 appearances, Tylor Megill has a combined ERA of 4.02. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .257. Opposing hitters have gone deep five times against Tylor Megill, who has a WOBA allowed of .343. Megill's WHIP of 1.51 comes along with a total of 22 walks allowed.
Offensively, New York is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.2 runs per game. The Mets' combined batting average currently sits at .240, placing them 20th in the league. So far, the team is the 17th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 47 deep shots. Up to this point, New York has been getting on base at a rate of .322, placing them 14th in all of baseball.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Rays vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between Tampa Bay and New York, the Rays are the betting favorite at -108 on the moneyline. Tampa Bay's implied win probability sits at 51.92%. The MLB predictive model shows Tampa Bay picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Rays on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Rays -1.5
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