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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 16th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Lakers @ Nuggets
The Lakers take on the Nuggets on Tuesday, May 16th at Ball Arena, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers (43-39) vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
- Date: Tuesday, May 16th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Lakers @ Nuggets
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Lakers & Nuggets Key Injuries
Lakers
- Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
- LeBron James (Probable) Foot
- Mo Bamba (Out) Ankle
Nuggets
- Jamal Murray (Questionable) Illness
Los Angeles Lakers - NBA Betting Analysis
The Lakers enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 122-101 win over the Warriors. LeBron James and his 30 led the way for the Lakers. Not only did Los Angeles win the game, but they also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 43-39, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 20-21 on the road. This season, Los Angeles' ATS record sits at 48-44.
The Lakers come into today's matchup as one of the top-scoring teams in the league at 117.2 points per game (8th). However, their production has slowed down of late, averaging just 111 points per game over their last five contests. Los Angeles has used pace to their advantage this season, averaging 101.8 possessions per game, which is the 4th most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 34.6% (35th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Lakers are 4th in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 77.5%.
Los Angeles' defense is currently ranked 18th in the league at 115.1 points allowed per game. Los Angeles is hovering around the league average despite forcing turnovers at a below-average rate of 13.5 per game. Also, the unit has struggled to clean up the defensive glass, ranking 25th in defensive rebounds per game. So far, opponents have hit 47.1% of their field goal attempts and 35.4% of their looks from deep.
Denver Nuggets - NBA Betting Analysis
After taking down the Suns by a score of 125-100, the Nuggets are riding a two-game win streak. Nikola Jokic led the way in scoring with 32 points. Denver was the 1.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 53-29, placing them 1st in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 34-7 at home and 19-22 on the road. The Nuggets have a 2-game win streak against the spread and have an overall ATS mark of 51-41.
In their last five games, the Nuggets have averaged 115 points per contest which is similar to their season average. Overall, Denver is ranked 15th in the league with a scoring average of 115.8 points per game. Denver's three-point shooting numbers have been impressive this year, ranking 5th in the NBA with a shooting percentage of 37.9%. However, their overall numbers have suffered from an average pace of 97.9 possessions per game, which is just 30th. Their current field goal percentage of 50.4% is 1st in the league.
On the defensive end of the floor, the Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 47.1% from the field (6th) and are giving up 115.1 points per game which is 18th in the NBA. Although Denver is not strong on the defensive glass, ranking 25th in defensive rebounds per game, they do a good job forcing turnovers. So far, they have turned teams over an average of 13.8 times per game (2nd).
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Lakers vs. Nuggets
Heading into the 4th meeting of the season between the Nuggets and Lakers, each team has two wins and will be looking to get the leg in the head-to-head series. In the last head-to-head matchup, the Nuggets were favored by 13.0 points. Even though they won straight up by a score of 122-109, they did not cover the spread. The combined 231 points failed to exceed the over/under line of 236.5.
In the Lakers' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Denver's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Nuggets are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of 5 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 3-0. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 230 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: DEN -6
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 222.0
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