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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, May 12th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Knicks @ Heat
The Knicks take on the Heat on Friday, May 12th at Kaseya Center, Miami. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: New York Knicks (47-35) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
- Date: Friday, May 12th
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Knicks @ Heat
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Knicks & Heat Key Injuries
Knicks
- Immanuel Quickley (Doubtful) Ankle
- Jericho Sims (Out) Shoulder
Heat
- Jimmy Butler (Probable) Ankle
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Haywood Highsmith (Probable) Knee
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
- Caleb Martin (Probable) Back
New York Knicks - NBA Betting Analysis
The Knicks enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 112-103 win over the Heat. Jalen Brunson and his 38 led the way for the Knicks. Not only did New York win the game, but they also covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 47-35, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 23-18 at home and 24-17 on the road. This season, New York's ATS record sits at 50-40.
For the season, the Knicks are the 13th-ranked scoring unit in the NBA at 116.0 points per game. But looking at their previous five games, the team is in danger of falling in the rankings as they have averaged just 102 points per contest. So far, the Knicks' shooters have hit just 35.4% of their three-point field goal attempts, placing them just 29th in the league. As a whole, the team is 25th in field goal percentage at 47.0%. In terms of pace, New York is below the league average at 97.7 possessions per game (33rd).
This season, the New York defense ranks 7th in the league, giving up an average of 106.6 points per game. Opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.9% and have knocked down 34.2% of their three-point attempts. The Knicks also rank 4th in the NBA for defensive rebounds. However, when it comes to forcing turnovers, New York is only 23rd, with 12.0 turnovers forced per game.
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
In Miami's most recent game, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 19 points, but the Heat fell to the Knicks by a score of 112-103 to the Knicks. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Miami as the 3.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Heat's overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 27-14 and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 40-52.
The Heat's offense has had difficulties scoring throughout the season, ranked 31st with an average of 109.5 points per game. To make matters worse, they have seen a drop in production lately, averaging just 106 points per contest over their last five games. Some key reasons behind the Heat's offensive struggles is their poor shooting numbers from outside. Currently, they rank 15th in attempts and 14th in percentage at 34.4%. The team's slow pace of play is also impacting their scoring numbers, as they are 96.2 in possessions per game. On average, Miami gets to the line 23.0 times per game (27th) and has hit 83.1% of these attempts.
Defensively, the Heat are one of the top units in basketball in large part due to their ability to force turnovers. This season, Miami is generating an average of 12.8 turnovers per game which is 9th in the NBA. They have also done an excellent job cleaning up the boards, ranking 4th in the league. Overall, they are allowing 106.6 points per game (7th) while allowing teams to hit 34.2% of their three-point attempts.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Knicks vs. Heat
Today's matchup will be the 9th game of the season between the Knicks and Heat. So far, the Knicks have the leg up in the series 5-4. In the most recent game between the two teams, the Knicks won by a score of 112-103, along with covering the spread as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under line going into the game was 209.5 points which the teams exceeded.
In the Knicks' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 3-7 with an average of 210 points per contest.
Across Miami's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Heat are 3-0 straight up on an average scoring differential of -3 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 3-0. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 227 points per game and an over/under mark of 8-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: MIA -5.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 208.5
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