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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 11th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mets vs. Reds
The Mets take on the Reds on Thursday, May 11th 2023 at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: New York Mets (18-19) vs. Cincinnati Reds (15-21)
- Date: Thursday, May 11th 2023
- Time: 12:35 ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mets vs. Reds
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New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Mets come into this road contest vs Cincinnati with a below .500 record (18-19). In the NL East standings, the team ranks 4th. New York has gone 11-11 in their games on the road.
Being the favorite in 27 of their 37 games has not helped New York improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 15-22. The team has an over/under record of 16-20, with an average betting line of 8.
Making the start for New York is Kodai Senga, with a record of 4-1. Coming into play, New York Mets has put together an ERA of 3.38. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .210. Opposing hitters have gone deep five times against Kodai Senga, who has a WOBA allowed of .320. Senga has a WHIP of 1.47, with 22 walks allowed.
New York's offense enters play with the 21st-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.3 runs per game. So far, the Mets have combined for a team batting average of .237, placing them 22nd in the league. Overall, the team has hit 41 home runs, placing them 16th. To date, New York has the MLB's 13th-rated OBP, sitting at .326.
Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against New York, the Reds have a record of just 15-21. This places the team 4th in the NL Central. In their 20 at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati has put together a record of 11-9.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Cincinnati has been favored 11 times in 36 games played so far. The team has an over/under record of 19-17, with an average betting line of 9.
For Cincinnati, Derek Law will look to pick up a win over New York, as he has a record of 2-4. Against the Mets, Derek Law is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 3.00. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .239 against him. So far, Law has given up three home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .334. Law has a WHIP of 1.50, with 11 walks allowed.
Cincinnati has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 25th in scoring with an average of 4.2 runs per game. Together, the Reds' offense has the 16th-ranked batting average, at .243. Along with their low batting average, the team has hit just 27 home runs (28th). Cincinnati's overall OBP of .320 puts them 17th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mets vs. Reds
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Cincinnati, the Mets are the betting favorite at -197 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 66.33%. The MLB predictive model shows the Mets pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take New York on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets -1.5
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