Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, April 13th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Reds
The Phillies take on the Reds on Thursday, April 13th 2023 at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (4-8) vs. Cincinnati Reds (4-7)
- Date: Thursday, April 13th 2023
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Reds
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Heading into today's game against Cincinnati, the Phillies have a record of just 4-8. This places the team 4th in the NL East. This season, playing on the road has been a problem for the Phillies as they are just 1-5.
The betting favorite in exactly half of their 12 games, Philadelphia holds a 4-8 record against the runline. The team has an over/under record of 6-6, with an average betting line of 8.
For Philadelphia, Bailey Falter will look to pick up a win over Cincinnati, as he has a record of 0-1. Bailey Falter heads into action with an ERA of just 2.61. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .275 against the left-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep two times against Bailey Falter, who has a WOBA allowed of .300. Falter has maintained a WHIP of 1.06 while permitting any walks.
On offense, Philadelphia comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 12 game, the Phillies have a team batting average of .282, ranking 4th. So far, the team is the 23rd-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 11 long balls. Up to this point, Philadelphia has been getting on base at a rate of .330, placing them 12th in all of baseball.
Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds take on the Philadelphia hoping to improve on their record of just 4-7, placing them 5th in the NL Central. In their five at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati has put together a record of 3-2.
Across their 11 games, Cincinnati has been favored three times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 7-4.
Taking the mound for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo. Heading into play, he has a mark of 1-0. Leading up to the game, Nick Lodolo has an ERA of just 1.50. Currently, opponents are batting just .217 against the left-hander. When looking at how opposing batters are faring in the power department, Nick Lodolo has a WOBA allowed of .250 and has yet to be tagged for a home run. With a total of four walks, Lodolo has a WHIP of 1.17.
Career-high 12 K and your current @MLB strikeouts leader.@nicklodolo pic.twitter.com/2sMO2OQjSY
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) April 8, 2023
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Cincinnati's offense, as they are the 24th-ranked scoring team at 4.5. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .242 comes in closer to the league average. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 12 times, good for 20th in the league. Cincinnati's offense currently sits 13th in OBP, coming in at .328.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Reds
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Cincinnati, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -101 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 50.25%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia pulling out a close win over the Reds. It is recommended to take the Phillies Moneyline on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline
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