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Matt Chapman 2023 MLB Player Outlook: Roto Stats Potential Undervaluing ADP
2 years agoIt wasn't a banner year at the plate for Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Matt Chapman in his first season north of the border, but a solid second half led to quality production across the board. Chapman hit 27 home runs with 83 runs and 76 RBI last season and significantly increased his BB% and OPS after the All-Star break as he settled into his new club. His underlying metrics were also among the league's best. While strikeout prone, Chapman ranked in the league's 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, 97th in hard-hit rate, and 88th in barrel rate. Chapman has long ranked among the best in the business in these departments, and his roto stats could shine brightest in 2023 as a result. Many projection systems such as THE BAT, ATC, and ZiPS have Chapman over 30 HR with runs and RBIs in at least the mid-80s as part of a dangerous Blue Jays offense. It also won't hurt that the already hitter-friendly Rogers Centre in Toronto is moving in its fences for the 2023 campaign. The former A's star is RotoBaller's 11th-ranked third baseman with an ADP of around 161. ATC projects Chapman with a .225/.316/.441 slash line with 28 home runs, 78 RBI, 79 runs, and a .330 WOBA in 2023. Given how often he barrels the baseball, Chapman is a steal at his current ADP, while it wouldn't hurt to call his name earlier in drafts.
