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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday October 20th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Yankees vs. Astros
The Yankees take on the Astros on Thursday October 20th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Yankees (0-1) vs. Houston Astros (1-0)
- Date: Thursday October 20th, 2022
- Time: 7:37 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Yankees vs. Astros
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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New York Yankees - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The New York Yankees enter play facing a 1-0 deficit in their ALCS matchup vs Houston. When playing away from home, the Yankees have played well posting a record of 43-41. The Yankees are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Houston by a score of 4-2. For the year, New York has played a total of 55 series, going 31-17-7.
For New York, Luis Severino gets the start, currently holding a record of 7-3. Coming into the game, Severino has put together an ERA of 3.18 across his 19 outings. Severino's WHIP of just 1.0 compares favorably to other MLB starters. Currently, opponents are batting just .196 against the right-hander. So far, Luis Severino has a SLG% allowed of 0.353, including giving up 14 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 28% of the batters he's faced.
New York enters play averaging 4.93 runs per game, placing them 2nd in the MLB. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 4. Through 162 games, the Yankees have the 16th-ranked batting average at .239. Per game, the team is averaging 7.98 hits. The team's lineup is hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.58 home runs per game (1st). To date, the team's barrel rate of 10.1% ranks near the top of the league. Throughout the season, New York's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 5th best OBP of .323. While the team's WOBA is one of the best in the league at .327.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros will host the Yankees looking to a 2-0 lead in the ALCS. So far, Houston has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 58-26. Houston will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Yankees by a score of 4-2. For the year, the team has played a total of 55 series, going 36-13-6.
Starting for the Astros will be Framber Valdez, with an overall record of 17-6. Coming into play, Valdez has put together an ERA of 2.77. So far, Framber Valdez has put together a WHIP of 1.15. So far, Framber Valdez has a SLG% allowed .302, including giving up 11 home runs. Overall, Valdez has notched 194 strikeouts on a K rate of 23.0%. Thus far, Framber Valdez has had problems with walks, averaging 3.0 BB/9.
Houston comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.54 runs per game, good for 8th in the MLB. So far, the team has struggled late in games, ranking 26th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. The Astros' combined batting average currently sits at .247, placing them 13th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.29 hits per game. Throughout the season, the team has been good in the power department, averaging 1.34 home runs per game, ranks 4th. To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.1% ranks near the top of the league. Up to this point, Houston has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 7th at .319. So far, the team has a walk rate of 8.6%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Yankees vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between New York and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -162 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. The MLB predictive model sees this being a closer game than expected, with the best bet being New York on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Yankees Runline
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