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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday October 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Braves
The Phillies take on the Braves on Tuesday October 11th at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) vs. Atlanta Braves (101-61)
- Date: Tuesday October 11th, 2022
- Time: 4:35 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Braves
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 87-75, the Philadelphia Phillies travel to take on the Atlanta Braves with a 1-0 lead in the Divisional Round. On the road, the Phillies come in with a mark of 43-41. In their last game, the Phillies picked up a 7-6 win over Atlanta. Philadelphia's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 26-22-5.
Philadelphia pitcher Zack Wheeler gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 12-7. Wheeler boasts an outstanding ERA of 2.82. Zack Wheeler has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.04. Currently, opponents are batting just .221 against the right-hander. Across his previous outings, Wheeler has a SLG% allowed of .352. In total, he has given up 13 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 163 strikeouts on a K rate of 27.0%.
Philadelphia enters play averaging 4.62 runs per game, placing them 7th in the MLB. Over their last 3 games, the team has an average run differential of 6. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .253, placing them 8th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.56 hits. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.25 home runs per game (6th). To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.5% ranks near the top of the league. Philadelphia's strong OBP of .317 is the 11th best in the league. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.9%.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies, they hope to even the series after dropping game 1. At home, the Braves come in with a mark of 55-27. Atlanta is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Phillies by a score of 7-6. Overall, the team has won over half of their 52 series played, going 28-17-7.
Atlanta pitcher Kyle Wright gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 21-5. Through 30 outings, Wright has an ERA sitting at 3.19. So far, Kyle Wright has put together a WHIP of 1.16. So far, Kyle Wright has a SLG% allowed .351, including giving up 19 home runs. Heading into the game, Wright has struck 24.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Kyle Wright has had problems with walks, averaging 2.65 BB/9.
On offense, Atlanta will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 3rd in runs scored, averaging 4.88 runs per game. In the team's 82 games at home, their run differential is 6. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .253, placing them 7th in the league. For the season, 39.7% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.50 home runs per game, which ranks 2nd. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Atlanta's strong OBP of .318 is the 8th best in the league. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .330.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Atlanta, the Braves are the betting favorite at -142 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 58.68%. The MLB predictive model shows Atlanta holding the advantage in both starting pitching and at the plate. It is recommended to take the Braves on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline
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