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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday October 8th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Mets
The Padres take on the Mets on Saturday October 8th at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (89-73) vs. New York Mets (101-61)
- Date: Saturday October 8th, 2022
- Time: 7:37 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Mets
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the San Diego Padres travel to take on the New York Mets with a record of 89-73, placing them 2nd in the NL West division. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 45-36. The Padres are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the SF Giants by a score of 7-1. Overall, the team has won over half of their 51 series played, going 26-18-7.
Padres starter Blake Snell comes into the game with a record of just 8-10. Currently, Snell's ERA is 3.45. Currently, opponents are batting just .218 against the left-hander. Across 128 innings pitched, Snell has allowed just 11 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 32.0% of the batters he's faced. Blake Snell's per 9 walk average of 3.59 has been a problem for the left.
San Diego enters play with the 13th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.35 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 19th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Through 162 games, the Padres have the 16th-ranked batting average at .241. For the season, 34.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 0.94 per game, good for 21st in the league. Their current combined exit velocity of 37.7 comes in near the MLB average. To date, San Diego has the MLB's 8th-best OBP at .318. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 9.3%.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 101-61, the New York Mets will host New York, currently ranked 2nd in the NL East division. Through 81 home contests, the Mets come in with a mark of 54-27. New York is coming off a winning effort over the Nationals by a score of 7-1. So far, the team has won 36 out of their first 51 series, 36-11-4.
Taking the mound for New York is Jacob deGrom. Heading into play, he has a mark of 5-4. So far, deGrom has put together an ERA of 3.08 across his 11 outings. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .171 against him. Per 9 innings, deGrom is giving up an average of 1.27 home runs, well above the MLB average. For the season, Jacob deGrom has a K/BB ratio of 12.75. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 43.0%.
New York comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.77 runs per game, good for 5th in the MLB. In the team's 81 games at home, their run differential is 3. The Mets have been able to drive in runs at an above-average rate as their team batting average of .259, which ranks 2nd in the league. This includes batting .297 over their last 3 games. In terms of home runs, New York ranks 15th, averaging 1.06 home runs per contest. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). New York's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 2nd with an OBP of .332. The team is generating walks at a rate of 8.3%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and New York, the Mets are the heavy favorite at -184 on the moneyline. New York's implied win probability sits at 64.79%. The MLB predictive model shows New York having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Mets on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Runline
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