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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 9th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Steelers @ Bills
The Steelers take on the Bills on Sunday, October 9th at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) vs. Buffalo Bills (3-1)
- Date: Sunday, October 9th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Steelers @ Bills
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Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 5, the Steelers will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 24-20 loss to the New York Jets. By dropping the game, the team also failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.0 advantage on the spread. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 44 points, which surpassed the betting line of 41. This was a difficult loss for Pittsburgh, as they held 3 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 4 games, the Steelers have an ATS record of 1-2-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-2. This week's betting total of 47.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Steelers offense is averaging 18.5 points per game, placing them 24th in the NFL. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 2nd ranked defense, look for Pittsburgh to have a below-average performance compared to their usual offensive output. This week, look for the Steelers to struggle in the passing game, as not only have they struggled to move the ball through the air, but they are facing a secondary ranked 1st in passer rating allowed. On the ground, Pittsburgh figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 23rd ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Bills knocked off the Ravens by a score of 23-20, giving them an important win over a AFC opponent. Although the team came with the win, they were not able to cover the spread. Heading into the game, they were -3.5 point favorites. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 50. the two teams entered the 4th quarter tied at 20-20, but Buffalo went on to outscore the Ravens by 3 in the final quarter. Through 4 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 2-1-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-3. This week's betting total of 47.0 is higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Pittsburgh, they have played well on offense, ranking 5th in points per game at 28.5. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Steelers defense giving up 22.5 points per game. This season, Buffalo has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 297.0 yards per game through the air. Although the Steelers defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Buffalo should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, the Bills should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better rushing team's in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Steelers vs. Bills
Over the last 3 matchups between Pittsburgh and Buffalo, the Bills have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 35.67 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Last year, Pittsburgh won the only meeting between the two teams. The Steelers were 6.5 point underdogs, with an over-under line of 48.0.
The Buffalo Bills have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Steelers offense has averaged 16.0 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Buffalo, compared to the Bills at 19.67.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Steelers have gone 0-3. In these games, they have gone just 0-2-1 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
Through their last 3 road games, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 20.33 points per game.
Buffalo has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. In these games, they have a 1-2 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
Buffalo has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 38.33 points per game while allowing 11.33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -14.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 47.0
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