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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Ravens @ Patriots
The Ravens take on the Patriots on Sunday, September 25th at Gillette Stadium, Foxborough. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Baltimore Ravens (1-1) vs. New England Patriots (1-1)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Ravens @ Patriots
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Baltimore Ravens - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 2, the Baltimore Ravens dropped their AFC matchup against the Dolphins by a score of 42-38. Going into the game, the oddsmakers had Ravens as the -3.5 favorite. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 80 points, which surpassed the betting line of 43. This was a difficult loss for Baltimore, as they held 21 point lead heading into the 4th quarter.
With their 38 points, Baltimore had an above average game compared to last year's season average of 22.76 points per game. Last week, Baltimore ran the ball 25 times for a total of 155 yards. Lamar Jackson had a big individual game, finding the endzone 1 time, in addition to his 119 rush yards.
Lamar Jackson was able to rack up 318 passing yards on an overall passer rating of 142.6. Not only did Jackson throw for 3 touchdowns, but he picked up 1 score with his legs. Rashod Bateman led the way for Baltimore at receiver, finding the endzone once to go along with his 108 yards. On average, Baltimore has thrown the ball 29.5 times per game, placing them 26th in the league. So far, 70.82% of their yards have come through the air, on a completion percentage of 64% (16th).
As a defensive unit, the Ravens currently rank 32nd in overall yards allowed. Heading into this week's action, Baltimore has yet to concede a touchdown on the ground. Through the air, the group has allowed 7 scores. The Ravens are currently allowing opposing offenses to convert on 3rd downs at a rate of 36.0%, which is similar to the league average.
New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Patriots knocked off the Steelers by a score of 17-14, giving them an important win over an AFC opponent. In terms of the spread, New England and Pittsburgh pushed, with the Patriots as -3.0 point favorites. The two teams combined point total of 31 remained below the betting line of 40. In their win over Pittsburgh, the Patriots held a 11 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 17-6. However, their 3 point win was not enough to cover the point spread at -3.0, resulting in an ATS push.
The Patriots 17 points was a below average figure compared to last year's squad that averaged 27.18 points per game. New England did a good in the run game vs Pittsburgh, compiling 124 on 31 carries. In addition to running for 71 yards, Damien Harris ran for 1 score.
On his way to throwing for 252 passing yards, Mac Jones finished with a passer rating of 79.7. To finish the game, Jones had 1 passing touchdown. Nelson Agholor led the way for New England at receiver, finding the endzone once to go along with his 110 yards. As a team, New England ranks 17th in the number of pass yards per game, averaging 222.5 per game. Going into the game, the Patriots have thrown a total of 2.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 65.0% (15th).
As a defensive unit, the Patriots currently rank 4th in overall yards allowed. Heading into this week's action, New England has yet to give up touchdown on the ground. Through the air, the group has allowed 2 scores. This season, the Patriots have struggled to get off the field in 3rd down situations, allowing opponents to convert at a rate of 48.3%.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Ravens vs. Patriots
Over the last 3 matchups between Baltimore and New England, the Patriots have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 50.0 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Last year, the Ravens and Patriots did not play each other.
The New England Patriots have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. On average, the Ravens have averaged 25.67 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to New England at 24.33.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Ravens have gone 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Through their last 3 road games, Baltimore has an ATS record of just 2-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 22.33 points per game.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Patriots have gone 1-2. In these games they have gone just 0-2-1 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
New England has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 35.67 points per game while allowing 18.67. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots 3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 43.0
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