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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday September 12th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Astros vs. Tigers
The Astros take on the Tigers on Monday, September 12th at Comerica Park, Detroit. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Houston Astros (90-50) vs. Detroit Tigers (54-86)
- Date: Monday September 12th, 2022
- Time: 6:40 ET
- Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Astros vs. Tigers
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Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 90-50, the Houston Astros travel to take on the Detroit Tigers, ranked 1st in the AL West division. So far, Houston has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 43-28. The unit is coming off a winning effort over the LA Angels by a score of 12-4. Houston's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 29-13-4.
Making the start for Houston, is Framber Valdez. So far, Valdez has a record of 14-5. Through 26 outings, Valdez's has an ERA sitting at 2.64. Framber Valdez has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.12. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .212 against him. Across his previous outings, Valdez has a SLG% allowed of .291. In total, he has given up 9 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 23.0% of the batters he's faced.
On the season, Houston boasts the 9th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.51 runs per game. So far, the team's offense has struggled to score late, ranking 26th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Through 140 games, the Astros have the 13th ranked batting average at .245. For the season, 38.2% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Throughout the season, the team has been good in the power department, averaging 1.31 home runs per game, placing them 5th in the league. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (8.0%). Up to this point, Houston has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 8th at .320. So far, the team has a walk rate of 9.1%.
Detroit Tigers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Houston, the Tigers have a record of just 54-86. This places the team 5th in the AL Central division. The Tigers will need a win in today's game to improve their record at Comerica Park (29-40). In their previous games, Detroit lost by a score of 4-0 to the Royals. Currently, the team has a below .500 record in their 45 series, coming in at 11-26-8.
The Tigers will send Eduardo Rodriguez to the mound with an overall record of 3-4. With an ERA of 4.13, Rodriguez has had his struggles on the mound. Eduardo Rodriguez has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.33. So far, Eduardo Rodriguez has a SLG% allowed .410, including giving up 9 home runs. Compared to other pitchers, Rodriguez has a strikeout percentage of 19.0%, placing him near the MLB average. Walks have been a problem for Eduardo Rodriguez as his BB/9 figure is 3.69.
On offense, Detroit has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.34 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 30th in runs scored through 4 innings. The Tigers combined batting average currently sits at .231, placing them 25th in the league. For the season, 29.8% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just .63 per game (30th). Leading into the game, the team's slugging percentage is just .343. Detroit's OBP of .287 places them 29th in the league. While their WOBA of .279 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Astros vs. Tigers
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and Detroit, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -205 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 67.21%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston having enough of an advantage to take them to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Runline
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