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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday September 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cardinals vs. Pirates
The Cardinals take on the Pirates on Sunday September 11th at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: St. Louis Cardinals (81-58) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (51-86)
- Date: Sunday September 11th, 2022
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cardinals vs. Pirates
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St. Louis Cardinals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 81-58, the St. Louis Cardinals travel to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates, ranked 1st in the NL Central division. So far, St. Louis has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 35-34. The team will look to tack on another victory as they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 7-5. St. Louis's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 23-10-10.
The Cardinals will send Jose Quintana to the mound with an overall record of 3-5. Coming into the game, Quintana has put together an ERA of 3.32 across his 20 outings. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.248). Per 9 innings pitched, Quintana is averaging just 0.61 home runs allowed. Heading into the game, he has struck 21.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Jose Quintana has had problems with walks, averaging 2.71 per 9 innings.
St. Louis comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 4.91 runs per game, good for 3rd in the MLB. This includes posting a season long run differential of 127. Heading into play, the Cardinals are the 7th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .257. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.26 home runs per game (7th). Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.7%). To date, St. Louis has the MLB's 3rd best OBP at .329. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .331.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against St. Louis, the Pirates have a record of just 51-86. This places the team 5th in the NL Central division. The Pirates will need a win in today's game to improve their record at PNC Park (28-42) above the .500 mark. Pittsburgh are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Cardinals by a score of 7-5. To start the year, the team has picked up just 9 series wins, going 9-28-8.
Mitch Keller gets the start for the Pirates with a below .500 record at 5-10. Against the Cardinals, Keller is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.22. Mitch Keller has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.45. So far, Mitch Keller has a SLG% allowed .407, including giving up 12 home runs. Overall, Keller has notched 109 strikeouts on a K rate of 19.0%. Thus far, Mitch Keller has had problems with walks, averaging 3.32 BB/9.
On offense, Pittsburgh has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 3.54 runs per game. In the team's 70 games at home, their run differential is -9. Through 137 games, the Pirates have struggled to string together hits, ranking 29th in team batting average (.222). For the season, 34.2% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. Per game, the team is averaging .98 home runs, placing them 19th. Their current combined exit velocity of 37.4 comes in near the MLB average. Pittsburgh's overall OBP of .288 puts them 28th in the league. While their WOBA of 0.287 is one of the lowest figures in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cardinals vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between St. Louis and Pittsburgh, the Cardinals are the heavy favorite at -210 on the moneyline. St. Louis's implied win probability sits at 67.74%. The MLB predictive model shows St. Louis having enough of an advantage to take them to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Cardinals Runline
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