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Nathaniel Lowe 2022 Player Outlook: A Great Value 1B In OBP Leagues
3 years agoAfter the dust settled, Lowe put up a pretty solid line in his first season as a Ranger. He scored 74 runs, hit 18 homers, drove in 72, stole eight bases, and hit a respectable .264. His expected high walk rate kept his on-base percentage high at .354 as well. He did all of that while largely avoiding the spotlight. The one thing that stood out about Lowe is how low his homer total seems when you consider that he posted a better-than-average 9.5% barrel rate and 113.9 max exit velocity. The issue there was the crazy high 55% GB%. We know that ground-ball rate is somewhat sticky, but it is not crazy at all to see major shifts in a player's batted ball profile from year-to-year. This makes Lowe a guy that could flirt with 25 homers if he can get a few more balls into the air. What we have here is a late-round first baseman that does a little bit of everything, and I think there's some unrealized ceiling in here as well. In on-base percentage leagues, he's a great value that you can get after pick 225, and he's only 26 years old. Sign me up for some Nate Lowe this year.
