3 years agoSt. Louis Cardinals third baseman Nolan Arenado proved he could hit outside of Colorado in 2021 but was an exclusive power hitter, slashing .255/.312/.494 with 31 HRs, 81 runs, 105 RBI, and two stolen bases over 157 games. His Statcast data of last year was similar to previous seasons, except for his 6.7 Barrel%, the second-lowest of his career. However, he offset the low barrels with a career-high 45.8 Pull%. His high averages with the Rockies were aided by consistently high BABIPs, courtesy of Coors Field. But, his .249 BABIP last year should regress towards the norm, and his ability to put the bat on the ball (career 14.9 K%, 14.7 K% in 2021) suggests at least a bit of a batting average improvement, even with his moderate 89 MPH average exit velocity from last season. He's slugged 241 HRs the past seven seasons, so he'll no doubt put up north of 30 home runs again, and Arenado's spot in the middle of the Cardinal's lineup almost guarantees at least 95 RBI with 80-plus runs. He won't be a factor in steals with his 21st percentile sprint speed and 18 career stolen bases. But his contributions in three categories without killing batting average assures he's a good selection at his ADP of 73, especially at a shallow third base position. He's a better value pick than the next third baseman, Kris Bryant, who's going at pick 88.--Spencer Seguin