Brandon Belt 2022 Player Outlook: Belting the Ball and Bitterly Undervalued
3 years agoSan Francisco Giants first baseman Brandon Belt continues to crush baseballs. He finished 2021 with a .274 avg, 29 home run(s), 59 run(s) batted in, 65 run(s), three stolen base(s), and a 3.3 fWAR across 381 plate appearances. Belt produced a career-high 17% barrel rate and has managed a 150 plus wRC+ in each of the last two seasons. He managed a 70 plus percentile score in max exit velocity, hard-hit %, xwOBA, xSLG, barrel %, and BB%. Belt has more swing and miss than anticipated with a 26th percentile whiff % but his 94th percentile chase rate and 90th percentile BB% outline elite plate discipline that should remain. The recent production from Belt is no misnomer considering his elite barrel rate and plate discipline. The issue is health. Belt has suffered from various injuries throughout his career. ATC projects Belt for 505 PA, 26 HRs, 69 RBIs, 72 runs scored, and three stolen bases. The plate appearance projection seems high. Belt has only topped 550 PA four times in eleven seasons. His current ADP sits at 268 which has him going after Jonathan Schoop and before Frank Schwindel. Considering Belt's elite discipline and barrel rate over the last two seasons he should be going next to Anthony Rizzo who is being selected around ADP 170. That said, there is obvious injury risk with Belt so fantasy managers know what they are signing up for.