Jesse Winker 2021 Player Outlook: Reasonable Gamble as High Ceiling, Low Floor OF
4 years agoCincinnati Reds outfielder Jesse Winker had a 2020 season that, in many ways, reflected the arc of his career. With consistent playing time at DH (including against left-handed pitchers), Winker slashed .255/.388/.544 with 12 home runs, 23 RBI, and 27 runs scored. He doubled his HR count from 2019 in half as many plate appearances and posted a career-high 25.1% strikeout rate and 15.3% walk rate. Winker hit the ball hard throughout the season with an average exit velocity and hard-hit rate both in the 90th percentile of baseball. However, August was Winker's only productive month, when he slashed an impressive .369/.459/.798 with 10 of his 12 total HR. If Winker can again receive regular playing time and hit for both average and power consistently, he will be a valuable fantasy player. However, all of the above-mentioned things would have to happen for that to be true. Winker's high ceiling/low floor dynamic makes his current ADP of 208 seem overall reasonable.