Joshua Kelley (RB, LAC) - Week 8 Waiver Wire Pickups

BALLER MOVE: Add in 14+ Team Leagues

ROSTERED: 43% of Leagues

ANALYSIS: Almost eight weeks into the season it is still hard to paint a clear picture of the Chargers backfield. Austin Ekeler was the (expected) go-to rusher through Week 3 until he fell down injured in Week 4. After that, Joshua Kelly has seen more opportunities, but so has Justin Jackson. With Ekeler not eligible to return from IR until at least Week 9, you can still get yourself a pretty nice WW addition in Joshua Kelly--keep in mind, though, that there is a very clear platoon with Jackson.

Since Week 4 (included), Kelly has played 30, 25, and 38 snaps compared to Jackson's 21, 42, and 31. That yields a combined 93 vs. 94 snaps for the two of them respectively, which can't get closer. It's really hard to predict who will end each week getting the most carries, or the most targets.

Kelly's out-rushed Jackson 2-1 in the last three games, but Jackson had the edge 2-1 in targets. Even then, though, Kelley averages 11 carries per game to Jackson's 9, and 3 targets to Jackson's 5. Consider Kelly the rusher, and Jackson the pass-catch running back.

Kelley's ceiling should be put at that of a borderline-RB2 if everything clicks, with his best game coming in Week 2 (13.3 PPR), although he needed a monster 23 rushing attempts to get there. Most probably, he won't see that volume again. If you are looking for players to put in your RB3/FLEX spot in deeper leagues, Kelley (and Justin Jackson, for that matter) shouldn't be that bad of an addition at least until Ekeler comes back in Week 9 at the soonest.

The Chargers face the third-best defense against RBs in fantasy points allowed next week, but then have a super-soft three-game span in which they'll go against the third-, eight-, and 7th-worst defenses stopping RBs.

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