Ian Happ 2020 Outlook: When A Cub Becomes A Bear
5 years agoAfter bursting on to the scene in 2017 with 24 HR and a triple slash of .253/.328/.514, Happ has largely disappointed fantasy players for the last two years. His 2018 output was so bad that the Cubs saw fit to demote Happ to AAA to start the 2019 campaign. He responded to this little hiccup by hitting 16 HR in 99 AAA games with a K% that was more than 10% lower than his 2018 mark. His performance in AAA earned him a call-up by July, and in his return to the majors, Happ hit 11 HR in 58 games with a triple slash of .264/.333/.564. Happ's glorious return to Wrigley also came with the lowest BABIP of his entire professional career, so there is reason to believe that he can improve upon his 2019 production if his luck on balls in play returns to his career average of .329. With an ADP of ~379, Happ is criminally undervalued for the 2020 season. Still just 25 years old, Happ's 2019 numbers were supported by a career-bests in contact rate (82.1%), barrel rate (13.7%), and xwOBA (.353). Add all of these auspicious metrics to the fact that Happ will not have to endure Joe Maddon's maddening lineup hijinks this season and we should have a serious sleeper on our hands for 2020. Draft with confidence and don't be afraid to reach a little bit above his current ADP to ensure that Happ makes his way on to your squad this year.