George Kittle 2019 Player Outlook: Great, but Overvalued
6 years agoA trendy 2018 breakout candidate, George Kittle not only didn't disappoint, but exceed all expectations in amassing 1377 yards and five touchdowns on 88 receptions. As the de facto WR1 in San Francisco, Kittle enjoyed a 26.4% target share and posted a 25.8% dominator rating. Those are monster numbers. The problem Kittle is going to run into in 2019 is that a large portion of his yards came after the catch. Kittle was a splash play machine last year. He scored touchdowns of 85 yards, 82 yards, and 43 yards, and added receptions of 71 yards, 52 yards, and 45 yards. Kittle's 857 yards after the catch were not just tops amongst TEs, but amongst all NFL pass catchers. He did this during a season where the 49ers lost Jimmy Garoppolo, Jerick McKinnon, Marquise Goodwin, and Pierre Garcon for all or part of the season. The new look 49ers have an emerging Dante Pettis, a healthy McKinnon, free agent acquisition Tevin Coleman, rookie WR Deebo Samuel, and rookie WR Jalen Hurd. Kittle's 15.3 ppr ppg would have made him the WR21 last season. With added competition and his yards after the catch certain to decrease, it is next to impossible for Kittle to match his 2018 output. He is a great player, but he is being drafted only a little after Zach Ertz, who outscored Kittle by 3.1 ppg. I am a huge fan of Kittle and he will be a top five TE this year, but he simply isn't worth a third round pick.