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Jose Abreu 2019 Outlook: Poised For A Bounce-Back
6 years agoThe model of consistency for Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu broke in 2018. After appearing in at least 145 games in every season since his 2014 debut, Abreu battled a myriad of injuries and played in only 128 contests last season. Predictably, his production dipped to career-lows in OPS (.798), homers (22) and runs+RBI (146). Entering his age-32 campaign, Abreu is poised for a rebound. Despite the depressed numbers, Abreu’s batted-ball outcomes were consistent year-over-year. An average FB/LD exit velocity of 95.1 MPH supports a sturdy Hard% of 38%, while contact rates and BB/K ratios remain above average. After posting a BABIP above .325 in each season, last year’s .294 appears fluky. While his team set up isn’t favorable, Abreu’s been a proven producer despite the abyss of Chicago’s south side. With health and good luck in his corner, it’s wholly conceivable Abreu flirts with 30 homers while testing an OPS north of .850 and 200 R+RBI. Normally a perennial early-round favorite in fantasy drafts for years, Abreu’s ADP has plunged to 82. For a steady four-category contributor with three years of over 30 homers and 180 R+RBI, Abreu’s current discount is too tempting to pass up.
