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Tyler Glasnow came into the league with the Pirates in 2016, but it wasn't until he joined the Rays during the 2018 season that he began to really see success. He pitched exclusively as a reliever for the Pirates in 2018; however, he was a starter in all 11 games he appeared in for the Rays that season. Despite the 1-5 record and 4.20 ERA, he had a low 1.10 WHIP and 20.0% K-BB%.
He was lights out in 2019 with a 6-1 record and 1.86 ERA through mid-May before forearm issues caused him to miss most of the rest of the season, throwing just 19.1 innings after he returned on September 8. His 2021 season was rolling along before a partial UCL tear shut down his season and most of 2022, making just three appearances after he returned at the end of that year.
An oblique injury caused him to have a late start to the 2023 campaign, finally making his season debut on May 27. He went on to start 21 games for the Rays, posting a 10-7 record in 120.0 IP with a 3.53 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 162 K, 25.8% K-BB%, and 33.4% K%. It seems he's figured out how to pitch without sunscreen now, so if he can put the injury history behind him, he finds himself in a great environment to put together his best and most complete season yet. What does that mean for 2024?
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Tyler Glasnow 2024 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
Despite the injury history, Glasnow has some good stuff. His fastball still sits at 96.4 mph, and his Whiff% and K% are 95th and 97th percentile, respectively.
His xFIP of 2.75 in 2023 also implies maybe he was a bit better than what his 3.53 ERA suggested, which could be a positive sign for 2024. Also, while Tampa Bay was good at scoring runs (5.25 runs/game in '23), the Dodgers were better (5.53 runs/game in '23).
They've since swapped out J.D. Martinez for Shohei Ohtani, so it could be even more formidable than last season. This will present Glasnow with the opportunity to rack up plenty of wins alongside his low ERA, low WHIP, and high K numbers.
Landing in L.A. has only increased his fantasy baseball price tag, being taken with the 45th pick overall and as the ninth starting pitcher off the board, in front of comparable and perhaps more durable assets such as Pablo Lopez, Logan Webb, and Kodai Senga. Any missed time and Glasnow will not deliver on that ADP, but hey, Glasnow is optimistic, so why shouldn't you be?
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