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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Lakers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Friday, March 31st.
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Today's Betting Overview - Lakers @ Timberwolves
The Lakers take on the Timberwolves on Friday, March 31st at Target Center, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers (38-38) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (39-38)
- Date: Friday, March 31st
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Lakers @ Timberwolves
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Lakers & Timberwolves Key Injuries
Lakers
- Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
- LeBron James (Questionable) Foot
- Mo Bamba (Out) Ankle
Timberwolves
- Kyle Anderson (Probable) Illness
- Austin Rivers (Questionable) Illness
- Karl-Anthony Towns (Probable) Calf
- Taurean Prince (Questionable) Illness
- Jaylen Nowell (Questionable) Knee
- Naz Reid (Out) Wrist
- Anthony Edwards (Probable) Illness
- Matt Ryan (Questionable) Illness
Los Angeles Lakers - NBA Betting Analysis
The Lakers enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 121-110 win over the Bulls. Anthony Davis and his 38 led the way for the Lakers. Not only did Los Angeles win the game, but they also covered the spread as 4.0-point favorites.
With the win, the team has moved to 38-38, placing them 9th in the Western Conference. So far this season, they have gone 21-18 at home and 17-20 on the road. This season, Los Angeles' ATS record sits at 37-36.
This season, the Lakers' offense has been excellent, ranking 10th in the NBA at 116.4 points per game. Los Angeles has averaged 115 points per contest over their last five games. Los Angeles has used pace to their advantage this season, averaging 101.7 possessions per game, which is the 2nd most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 34.2% (26th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Lakers are 1st in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 77.7%.
Some key factors behind the Lakers' struggles this year is their inconsistent defensive rebounding and inability to force turnovers. So far, they are 24th in defensive rebounds per game and 14th in forced turnovers at 14th per game. Overall, Los Angeles is allowing 115.1 points per game, placing them 21st in the NBA. Opposing teams have hit 35.4% of their three-point field goal attempts against the Lakers and 47.1 of their shots overall.
Minnesota Timberwolves - NBA Betting Analysis
In Minnesota's most recent game, Anthony Edwards led the team in scoring with 31 points, but the Timberwolves fell to the Suns by a score of 107-100 to the Suns. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Minnesota as the 6.0 point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Timberwolves' overall record sits at 39-38, placing them 8th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 21-17 and 18-21 on the road. Minnesota's record against the spread is below .500 at 37-40.
So far this season, the Timberwolves' offense has been one of the top units in the NBA, sitting 12th in the league with an average of 115.7 points per game. In their last five games, Minnesota is averaging 116 points per contest. Minnesota has utilized their pace effectively this season, with an average of 101.7 possessions per game, which ranks 2nd in the league. Their fast-paced style has offset their three-point field goal percentage of 36.2% (16th). The Timberwolves are 16th in the NBA for free-throw attempts and have a shooting percentage of 75.5%.
The Timberwolves have struggled this season due to poor defensive rebounding and a lack of forced turnovers, ranking 24th and 27th respectively. They are allowing an average of 115.1 points per game, putting them 21st in the league. Opponents have connected on 35.4% of their three-pointers and 47.1% of their field goal attempts when facing Minnesota.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Lakers vs. Timberwolves
The Timberwolves currently have the leg up in this year's season series against the Lakers. Across two games, the Timberwolves have a record of 2-0. In the last head-to-head matchup, the Timberwolves were favored by 8.0 points. Even though they won straight up by a score of 111-102, they did not cover the spread. The combined 213 points failed to exceed the over/under line of 231.5.
In the Lakers' previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 230 points per contest.
Across Minnesota's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Timberwolves are 1-2 straight up on an average scoring differential of 0 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 0-3. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 234 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: LAL +0.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 232.5
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