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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, January 1st, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Broncos @ Chiefs
The Broncos take on the Chiefs on Sunday, January 1st at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Denver Broncos (4-11) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (12-3)
- Date: Sunday, January 1st, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Broncos @ Chiefs
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Denver Broncos - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Denver Broncos are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 51-14 to the Los Angeles Rams. With the loss, Denver failed to cover the spread, as they had a -3.0 advantage on the spread. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 36 points, which the teams surpassed. In the game, Denver trailed the Rams by a score of 34-6 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 15 games, the Broncos have an ATS record of 6-9. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-11. This week's betting total of 45.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Broncos prepare to take on Kansas City, they are ranked 32nd in points per game at 15.5. This week they will be facing off against a defense allowing 221.1 points per game. Although the Broncos come into the game ranked just 20th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is 20th in passing yards allowed. On the ground, Denver could have trouble finding running room against the league's 8th-ranked rush defense. For the year, the Broncos are just the 23rd ranked team in rush yards per game.
Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Chiefs knocked off the Seahawks by a score of 24-10. The team not only won the game but also covered the -10.0 point spread as the betting favorite. With an over-under betting line of 50, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 34. On their way to picking up a 14-point win, Kansas City held a 14-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 17-3. Through 15 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 5-10. So far, they have an over-under record of 7-8. This week's betting total of 45.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Chiefs prepare to take on Denver, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 29.2. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 8th-ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 303.5 yards per game through the air. Although the Broncos' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. In the running game, the Chiefs are averaging 117.1 yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Broncos vs. Chiefs
In the 5 most recent matchups between Denver and Kansas City, the Chiefs have dominated the series, winning 5 straight games. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 48.4 points. This week, the Broncos will be looking for some revenge, as they already have 1 loss to the Chiefs this season. In the first game, Denver fell by a score of 34-28. Even though the Chiefs came away with the win, the Broncos covered the spread as +13.5 point underdogs. When looking back to last year's matchups between Kansas City and Denver, the Chiefs won both games by scores of 28-24 and 22-9.
The Denver Broncos have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-2. On average, the Broncos have averaged 18.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Kansas City at 29.8.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Broncos have gone 1-2. In these games, they have gone just 2-1 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 3-0.
Although Denver has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 11.0 points per game in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 3-0 straight up. In these games, they have a 1-2 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
Across their last 3 home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0 while averaging 25.67 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Chiefs -13.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 45.0
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