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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Buffalo Bills vs. Chicago Bears, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Saturday, December 24th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Bills @ Bears
The Bills take on the Bears on Saturday, December 24th at Soldier Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills (11-3) vs. Chicago Bears (3-11)
- Date: Saturday, December 24th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Soldier Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Bills @ Bears
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- BetMGM Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Bills will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 32-29 win over their division rival, the Miami Dolphins. Although the team came with the win, they were not able to cover the spread. Heading into the game, they were -7.0 point favorites. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 61 points, surpassing the betting line of 44. Buffalo pulled out a comeback victory over the Dolphins, as they entered the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 26-21. Despite the win, Buffalo was not able to cover the spread. Through 14 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 5-8-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-10. This week's betting total of 40.5 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Chicago, they have played well on offense, ranking 4th in points per game at 27.5. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Bears defense ranked 30th in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 5th ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense, allowing 211.7 yards per game against the pass. On the ground, the Bills should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better rushing teams in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Chicago Bears - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 16, the Chicago Bears are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Eagles by a score of 25-20, giving them a loss against an NFC opponent. Despite the loss, Chicago picked up an ATS win. The team entered the game as 8.5 underdogs. The two teams combined point total of 45 remained below the betting line of 47. The Bears were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Philadelphia by a score of 17-13 heading into the final quarter. Through 14 games, the Bears have an ATS record of 5-8-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 9-5. This week's betting total of 40.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Bears offense is averaging 20.7 points per game, placing them 19th in the NFL. Their matchup against the Bills will create problems for the team's offensive outlook, as Buffalo is the league's 2nd ranked defense. For the season, Chicago is 32nd in pass attempts per game, leading to an average of 137 yards per game. The Bears will look to control the game at the line of scrimmage, as they are the NFL's top rushing team at 186.9 yards per contest.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Bills vs. Bears
Over the last 5 matchups between Buffalo and Chicago, the Bears have won 3 of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-1-1, with the average scoring total coming in at 48.2 points. Last year, the Bills and Bears did not play each other.
When looking at how the teams have performed vs the spread, neither unit has a leg up, each covering 2 times. The Bills offense has averaged 18.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Chicago, compared to the Bears at 30.0.
The Bills have posted a 3-0 record in their previous 3 games. Their strong play has also resulted in a strong ATS mark of 1-2 (last 3).
In their last 3 road games, Buffalo has averaged 23.0 points per game while allowing 18.33. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 1-2.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bears have gone 0-3 straight up. Like their straight-up record, Chicago struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 2-1.
Across the Bears' last 3 home games, the team averaged 23.0 points per game while allowing 28.0. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -8.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 40.5
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