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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Giants @ Commanders
The Giants take on the Commanders on Sunday, December 18th at FedEx Field, Landover. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New York Giants (7-5-1) vs. Washington Commanders (7-5-1)
- Date: Sunday, December 18th, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: FedEx Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Giants @ Commanders
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New York Giants - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Giants lost in a divisional matchup against Philadelphia Eagles by a score of 48-22. New York lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed New York as 7.0 point underdogs. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 70 points, which surpassed the betting line of 44. The Giants were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Philadelphia by a score of 34-14 heading into the final quarter. Through 13 games, the Giants have an ATS record of 9-4. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-8. This week's betting total of 40.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Giants offense is averaging 20.5 points per game, placing them 20th in the NFL. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 10th-ranked defense. Even though New York has a decent matchup in the passing game, as the Commanders are ranked 16th in passer rating allowed, we don't anticipate the team being able to take advantage. A key matchup to watch through the game is if New York will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 147.7 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Washington Commanders - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Washington Commanders will look to come home with a win, as they are coming off a 20-20 tie vs the New York Giants. With the tie, Washington failed to cover the spread, as they were the -2.0 point favorites. Together, the two teams combined score matched the over-under betting line of 40. Washington came back to tie the game, despite heading into the 4th quarter trailing by a score of 20-13. The Commanders outscored New York by 7 points in the final quarter. Through 13 games, the Commanders have an ATS record of 7-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-9. This week's betting total of 40.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Commanders prepare to take on New York, they are ranked 25th in points per game at 19.5 and are facing the 20th-ranked scoring defense. Although the Commanders come into the game ranked just 23rd in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a New York secondary that is vulnerable through the air. On the ground, our projections show that the Commanders' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a New York, look for Washington to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 124.5.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Giants vs. Commanders
Over the last 5 head-to-head games between the Giants and Commanders, each team has 2 wins. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-3-1, with the average scoring total coming in at 42.0 points. In this year's previous meeting between the two teams, the Giants and Commanders played to a 20-20 tie. Even though the two teams ended in a tie, the Giants kept the game closer than expected as Washington was favored to win. In the two meetings between New York and Washington, the Commanders picked up 2 wins by scores of 22-7 and 30-29.
The New York Giants have gone 2-2 vs the spread in these games. The Giants offense has averaged 19.8 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Washington, compared to the Commanders at 22.2.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Giants have gone 0-2 straight up. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 2-1. Their over-under record in this span was 2-1.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Giants have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 18.67 points per game in this stretch.
Washington has put together a record of 2-0-1 over their past 3 games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 0-3
In their last 3 home games, Washington has averaged 19.67 points per game while allowing 18.0. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-0-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Commanders -4.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40.0
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