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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ Texans
The Chiefs take on the Texans on Sunday, December 18th at NRG Stadium, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) vs. Houston Texans (1-11-1)
- Date: Sunday, December 18th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: NRG Stadium
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Chiefs will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 34-28 win over their division rival, the Denver Broncos. Going into the matchup, the Chiefs were -9.0 point favorites and did not cover the spread. The teams combined for a total of 62 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 44. In their win over Denver, the Chiefs held a 13-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 34-21. However, their 6-point win was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 13 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 4-9. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-7. This week's betting total of 49.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Chiefs offense is averaging 29.5 points per game, placing them 2nd in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Texans defense ranked 26th in points per game. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 309.2 yards per game through the air. Although the Texans' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, our projections show that the Chiefs' offense will a good game on the ground, surpassing their season average of 114.6 as the Texans are a below-average rush defense.
Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Houston Texans are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 27-23 to the Dallas Cowboys. In terms of betting, Houston covered the spread as 17.0 point underdogs. With their combined 50 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 44. In the losing effort, the Texans blew a 6-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, as Dallas outscored them by 10 in the final period. Through 13 games, the Texans have an ATS record of 5-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-8. This week's betting total of 49.5 is higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Texans prepare to take on Kansas City, they are ranked 30th in points per game at 16.2. Although the Texans come into the game ranked just 26th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Houston to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, Houston is just the 28th-ranked team in rush yards per game and will be facing a Chiefs defense allowing just 106 yards per contest.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. Texans
Kansas City comes into the game looking to continue their recent success over Houston, as they have won 2 of their last 3 matchups. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-0, with the average scoring total coming in at 63.66 points. Kansas City and Houston did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Kansas City Chiefs have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Chiefs' offense has averaged 36.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Houston, compared to the Texans at 27.3.
The Chiefs have posted a 2-1 record in their previous 3 games. In terms of betting, the team went 0-3 in these matchups.
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 29.3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Texans have gone 0-3 straight up. In these games, they have gone just 1-2 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
Although Houston has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 13.7 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Chiefs -14.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 49.5
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