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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Monday, December 5th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Saints @ Buccaneers
The Saints take on the Buccaneers on Monday, December 5th at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New Orleans Saints (4-8) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6)
- Date: Monday, December 5th, 2022
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Saints @ Buccaneers
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New Orleans Saints - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 12, the New Orleans Saints dropped their NFC matchup against the 49ers by a score of 13-0. In terms of betting, New Orleans not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as an 8.5-point underdog. Together, the two teams combined score remained below the over-under betting line of 43. The Saints were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed San Francisco by a score of 13-0 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Saints have an ATS record of 4-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 40.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Saints offense is averaging 20.8 points per game, placing them 21st in the NFL. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 7th-ranked defense, look for New Orleans to have a below-average performance compared to their usual offensive output. Even though New Orleans is averaging 234.1 yards per game through the air, we expect them to struggle against a defensive unit that is 3rd in sack percentage. Gaining traction on the ground could also prove difficult, as the team is 22nd in rush yards per game at 113.2 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 13, the Buccaneers will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 23-17 loss to the Cleveland Browns. Tampa Bay lost the game, even though they entered the game as -3.5 point favorite. The team's combined scoring of 40 points fell below the posted betting line of 42. This was a difficult loss for Tampa Bay, as they held 7 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 11 games, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 3-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-9. This week's betting total of 40.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Buccaneers prepare to take on New Orleans, they are ranked 27th in points per game at 18.18. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Saints defense giving up 28.0 points per game. In the passing attack, the Buccaneers head into the game averaging 266 yards per game through the air. This week, they are facing off against a secondary that is ranked 18th in passer rating allowed. So far, the rushing game has not been an emphasis for the team, as they are 31st in rushing attempts, leading to a per-game average of just 73 yards.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Saints vs. Buccaneers
New Orleans comes into the game looking to continue their recent success over Tampa Bay, as they have won 2 of their last 3 matchups. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 34.0 points. In game 1 of this year's series between the two teams, the Buccaneers came away with a 10-20 win over the Saints. In addition to picking up the win, the Buccaneers covered the spread as -4.0 point favorites. When looking back to last year's matchups between New Orleans and Tampa Bay, the Saints won both games by scores of 9-0 and 36-27.
The New Orleans Saints have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Saints' offense has averaged 18.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Tampa Bay, compared to the Buccaneers at 15.67.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Saints have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Saints have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 14.67 points per game in this stretch.
Tampa Bay has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. In these games, they have a 1-1-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 0-3.
Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 19.67 points per game while allowing 18.67. The team also performed well vs the spread at 1-1-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers -4.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 40.0
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