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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 4th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Packers @ Bears
The Packers take on the Bears on Sunday, December 4th at Soldier Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (4-8) vs. Chicago Bears (3-9)
- Date: Sunday, December 4th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Soldier Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Packers @ Bears
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Green Bay Packers - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Packers fell by a score of 40-33 to the Philadelphia Eagles, giving them a loss in the NFC standings. In terms of betting, Green Bay not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 6.5 point underdog. With their combined 73 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 46. The Packers were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Philadelphia by a score of 34-23 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Packers have an ATS record of 4-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 42.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Packers offense is averaging 19.6 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Bears defense giving up 30.5 points per game. Although the Packers come into the game ranked just 14th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Chicago secondary that is vulnerable through the air. On the ground, the Packers are averaging 121.3 yards per game and are facing off against the 27th-ranked defense in rush yards allowed.
Chicago Bears - NFL Betting Analysis
Coming off a 31-10 non-conference loss to the New York Jets, the Bears will look to get back in the win column vs Chicago. Not only did Chicago lose the game, they also failed to cover the spread. Going into the game, the team was 8.5 point underdogs. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 41 points, which surpassed the betting line of 36. The Bears were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed New York by a score of 31-10 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Bears have an ATS record of 4-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 8-4. This week's betting total of 42.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Bears' offense is averaging 20.9 points per game, placing them 19th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Packers defense giving up 28.3 points per game. Even though Chicago has a good matchup in the passing game, as the Packers are ranked 20th in passer rating allowed, we don't anticipate the team being able to take advantage. Look for the Bears to finish the game with a below-average performance in the passing game. However, they should be in line for a good game on the ground, as they lead the league in attempts and are facing the 31st ranked rush defense.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Packers vs. Bears
Heading into the game, Chicago will look to turn things around in the series, as the Packers have won each of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-2, with the average scoring total coming in at 53.4 points. The Packers will be looking to pick up yet another win over the Bears as they picked up a 27-10 win at home in week 2. In addition to winning the game, the Packers covered the spread as -3.0 point favorites. Last year, Green Bay took both of the matchups between the teams, grabbing a 45-30 win as well as a 24-14 victory.
The Green Bay Packers have covered the spread in each of the last 5 contests. On average, the Packers have averaged 34.4 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Chicago at 19.0.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Packers have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these games was 3-0.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Packers have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 19.67 points per game in this stretch.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bears have gone 0-3 straight up. Like their straight-up record, Chicago struggled vs the spread, going 0-3. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 3-0.
In their last 3 games at home, the Bears have a straight-up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 23.0 points per game in this stretch.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Packers -3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 42.5
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