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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Washington Commanders vs. Houston Texans, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 20th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Commanders @ Texans
The Commanders take on the Texans on Sunday, November 20th at NRG Stadium, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Washington Commanders (5-5) vs. Houston Texans (1-7-1)
- Date: Sunday, November 20th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: NRG Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Commanders @ Texans
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Washington Commanders - NFL Betting Analysis
The Commanders head into week 11 looking for another win, as they picked up 11 point victory over the Philadelphia Eagles (32-21). Heading into the game, the Commanders were 11.0 point underdogs, resulting in both a straight-up and ATS victory. The teams combined for a total of 53 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 43. Despite being the 11.0-point underdogs heading into the game, the Commanders held a 9-point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 10 games, the Commanders have an ATS record of 5-4-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-6. This week's betting total of 40.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Commanders prepare to take on Houston, they are ranked 24th in points per game at 19.1. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Texans defense giving up 23 points per game. In particular, we the Commanders ground attack to put together one of their better performances of the season. For the year, the Texans are the NFL's worst rush defense, allowing 181 yards per game on the ground.
Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Texans will be looking to get back to winning ways, as they fell to the New York Giants by a score of 24-16 in week 10. Houston lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed Houston as 5.0 point underdogs. The two teams combined point total of 40 remained below the betting line of 41. The Texans were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed New York by a score of 21-10 heading into the final quarter. Through 9 games, the Texans have an ATS record of 4-4-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-5. This week's betting total of 40.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Texans' offense is averaging 16.56 points per game, placing them 28th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Commanders defense giving up 21.3 points per game. Although the Texans come into the game ranked just 24th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Washington secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Houston to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, our projections show that the Texans' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a Washington, look to Houston to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 101.78.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Commanders vs. Texans
Looking back at the recent matchups between Washington and Houston, the Texans have taken 3 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 41.2 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Washington and Houston did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Washington Commanders have gone 1-1-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Commanders have averaged 22.2 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Houston at 19.0.
Washington has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. Against the spread, the team is 2-0-1 in these same games.
Across their last 3 road contests, Washington has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 20.33 points per game.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Texans have gone 0-3. In these games, they have gone just 1-2 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
Although Houston has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 17.0 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Commanders -3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40.5
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