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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 6th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Bears
The Dolphins take on the Bears on Sunday, November 6th at Soldier Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (5-3) vs. Chicago Bears (3-5)
- Date: Sunday, November 6th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Soldier Field
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Bears
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, Miami played in a non-conference game vs the Detroit Lions, winning by a score of 31-27. This win was paired with an ATS victory, as they went into the game by -3.5 point favorites. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 58 points, surpassing the betting line of 52. On their way to picking up a 4-point win, Miami held a 4-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 31-27. Through 8 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 4-4. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-5. This week's betting total of 44.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Dolphins' offense is averaging 22.25 points per game, placing them 16th in the NFL. In the passing game, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for a total of 1678 yards and has the team ranked 3rd in passing yards per contest. Even more impressive is the fact that they are only 13 in passing attempts per game. The team's top receiver Tyreek Hill has caught 75.0% of the passes thrown his way and has accumulated 961.0 receiving yards.
Although Raheem Mostert and the Dolphins' rushing attack is averaging just 88.12 yards per game on the ground, they could be asked to take on a heavier load as Chicago struggles to defend the run. This year, Mostert is averaging 4.5 yards per rush attempt.
Chicago Bears - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Chicago Bears are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 49-29 to the Dallas Cowboys. The loss was costly, as it came against a NFC opponent. Chicago entered the game as 9.5-point underdogs on the spread. In terms of the over-under, the teams combined for 78 points, which surpassed the betting line of 42. The Bears were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Dallas by a score of 42-23 heading into the final quarter. Through 8 games, the Bears have an ATS record of 3-4-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-4. This week's betting total of 44.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Bears offense is averaging 19.38 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Dolphins defense giving up 24 points per game. Although the Bears come into the game ranked just 32nd in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Miami secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect Chicago to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Chicago will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 188.5 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Bears
When looking back at the recent matchups between Miami and Chicago, the Dolphins have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 38.66 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Miami and Chicago did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Dolphins' offense has averaged 19.33 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Chicago, compared to the Bears at 19.33.
Spanning across their last 3 games, Miami have gone 2-1. In terms of betting, the team went 1-2 in these matchups.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 21.0 points per game in this stretch.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Bears have gone 1-2 straight up. Like their straight-up record, Chicago struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 2-1.
In their last 3 home games, Chicago has averaged 16.33 points per game while allowing 14.0. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 1-1-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Dolphins -5.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 44.0
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