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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, November 6th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chargers @ Falcons
The Chargers take on the Falcons on Sunday, November 6th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-4)
- Date: Sunday, November 6th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chargers @ Falcons
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Los Angeles Chargers - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 7, the Los Angeles Chargers dropped a non-conference matchup against the Seahawks by a score of 37-23. With the loss, Los Angeles failed to cover the spread, as they had a 5 point advantage on the spread. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 51 points, which the teams surpassed. In the game, Los Angeles trailed the Seahawks by a score of 27-14 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 7 games, the Chargers have an ATS record of 4-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-3. This week's betting total of 49.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Quarterback Justin Herbert leads the Chargers offense into Atlanta, ranked 23.43 in points per game (11th). Overall, Herbert is ranked 5th among quarterbacks in yards per game at 287.0. This figure has come on a completion percentage of 65.9%. In his last game, he finished with a passer rating of 84.84 while throwing for 293 yards. Against the Falcons, the team will look to get receiver Mike Williams involved in the passing game. This year, he is averaging 8.43 targets per game, leading to an overall receiving yards total of 495.0.
Running back Austin Ekeler heads a Los Angeles rushing attack, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Overall, he is the league's 26th-ranked running back in yards per game. As a team, the Chargers have struggled to move the ball on the ground, which figures to continue against a tough Atlanta rush defense.
Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
Atlanta will be looking to add another win to their resume, as they picked up a divsion win over the Carolina Panthers. The Falcons won by a margin of 37-34. Although the team came with the win, they were not able to cover the spread. Heading into the game, they were -4.0 point favorites. With their combined 41 points, the two teams exceeded the betting over-under number of 41. In their win over Carolina, the Falcons held a 8-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 21-13. However, their 3 was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 8 games, the Falcons have an ATS record of 6-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-3. This week's betting total of 49.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Falcons prepare to take on Los Angeles, they have played well on offense, ranking 6th in points per game at 25.0. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Chargers defense that is ranked 24th in points per game. Even though Atlanta has a good matchup in the passing game, as the Chargers are ranked 18th in passer rating allowed, we don't anticipate the team being able to take advantage. Look for the Falcons to finish the game with a below-average performance in the passing game. However, they should be able to do some damage on the ground, as they are one of the better rushing team's in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chargers vs. Falcons
When looking back at the recent matchups between Los Angeles and Atlanta, the Falcons put together a record of 2-3. The two teams have combined to average 41.8 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Los Angeles and Atlanta did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Los Angeles Chargers have gone 2-2 vs the spread in these games. The Chargers' offense has averaged 18.4 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Atlanta, compared to the Falcons at 23.4.
Los Angeles will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past 3 games. Their strong play has also resulted in an ATS mark of 1-2 (last 3).
Los Angeles has played well in their previous 3 road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 29.33 points per game while allowing 26.33. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Atlanta has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
In their last 3 home games, Atlanta has averaged 29.33 points per game while allowing 22.67. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Chargers -3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 49.0
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