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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday August 27th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cubs vs. Brewers
The Cubs take on the Brewers on Saturday August 27th at American Family Field, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Chicago Cubs (55-71) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (65-59)
- Date: Saturday August 27th, 2022
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Cubs vs. Brewers
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Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Milwaukee, the Cubs have a record of just 55-71. This places the team 3rd in the NL Central division. The Cubs hope to avoid dropping further below .500 when playing on the road, as they are currently 25-33. In their previous games, the Cubs defeated the Brewers by a score of 4-3. Currently, Chicago has a below .500 record in their 40 series, coming in at 17-18-5.
Cubs starter Drew Smyly comes into the game with a record of just 5-7. Smyly will take the mound with an ERA of 3.47, placing him near the MLB average. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .252. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Smyly. So far, he has allowed 12 home runs, leading to a per 9 average of 1.3. For the season, he has picked up 71 strikeouts on a K rate of 20.0%. Drew Smyly's per 9 walk average of 2.06 has been a problem for the left.
Chicago enters play with the 22nd-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.14 runs per game. So far, the team ranks 12th in runs scored through 4 innings. Through 126 games, the Cubs have the 17th ranked batting average at .241. Per game, the team is averaging 8.15 hits and 1.02 home runs, placing them 16th. To date, Chicago has the MLB's 18th rated OBP, sitting at .313, while their current wOBA of .310 is similar to the league average.
Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 65-59, the Milwaukee Brewers will host Milwaukee, currently ranked 2nd in the NL Central division. In their 55 at American Family Field, Milwaukee has put together a record of 31-24. Milwaukee will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Cubs by a score of 4-3. For the year, the team has played a total of 40 series, going 17-16-7.
Making the start for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, with a record of 9-3. Across 19 appearances, Woodruff has a combined ERA of 3.51. On average, Woodruff is allowing 1.15 base runners per inning (WHIP). Across his previous outings, Woodruff has a SLG% allowed of .379. In total, he has given up 13 home runs. For the season, Woodruff has picked up 122 strikeouts on a K rate of 29%. In his outings, Brandon Woodruff is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 2.72 BB/9.
On offense, Milwaukee will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 10th in runs scored, averaging 4.51 runs per game. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at -11. The Brewers' combined batting average currently sits at .233, placing them 23rd in the league. This includes batting 0.186 over their last 3 games. On average the team is hitting 1.39 home runs per game (3rd), making up for their struggles in the batting average department. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Milwaukee's OBP of .315 places them 16th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 9.4%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Cubs vs. Brewers
Heading into today's matchup between Chicago and Milwaukee, the Brewers are the heavy favorite at -205 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 67.21%. Even with the odds strongly in favor of Milwaukee, the MLB predictive model shows the best bet for this contest being the Cubs on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Cubs +1.5 Runline
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