Mark Andrews 2022 Outlook: Will Have Every Opportunity to Repeat as the Overall TE1
3 years agoMark Andrews completely broke out in 2021. He went from averaging 12.2 PPR points per game in 2020, to a whopping 17.7 PPR points per game last season. He finished the season as the overall TE1, unseating Travis Kelce, who held the honors between 2016 and 2020. But did it come because of higher efficiency, or was it based solely on the Ravens' increase in passing volume? In 2020, Baltimore was dead last in pass attempts per game with 25.9. That led to Andrews seeing just 6.3 targets per game. In 2021, they threw the ball 35.9 times per game, 10 more times than in 2020. As a result, Andrews saw a large spike in targets, up to 9.1 per game. He ran 30.2 routes per game compared to just 23.6 routes per game in 2020. However, his targets per route run (TPRR) rate went from 26.6% in 2020 to 30% in 2021. That metric helps adjust for the increased passing volume in Baltimore and tells us Andrews was being targeted at an even higher rate than he was the year prior. And now Marquise Brown is out of the mix after being traded to Arizona. Brown missed one game last season, and in that game, Andrews saw 10 targets for a target share of 27.8%. He was also tied for fifth in the league last season in targets inside the 10-yard line with 11, two more than Travis Kelce. And he converts on those high-value targets, totaling an astronomical 26 touchdowns over the last three seasons, one more than Kelce over that stretch. The Ravens may not throw it 35.9 times per game this season, but when they do, you know it's going to Andrews. With that said, Kelce could dominate this season without Tyreek Hill, so you could argue for either one of these elite tight ends as the first one off draft boards in 2022.